June 28, 2022

After eliminating the Phoenix Suns in a surprising Sport 7 victory, the Dallas Mavericks are determined underdogs within the 2022 Western Convention Finals. The Golden State Warriors have been pegged because the betting favorites within the upcoming playoff sequence towards Luka Doncic and Co.

The Warriors are given -220 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to defeat the Mavericks within the best-of-seven sequence. The Mavericks have +185 odds to drag off a 3rd straight upset.

Dallas continues to beat the chances within the West playoffs. Within the first spherical, the Mavericks upset the Utah Jazz in six video games, regardless of lacking Doncic within the first half of the sequence due to a calf damage. Dallas fell behind Phoenix 2-0 within the second spherical, solely to win 4 of the subsequent 5 video games towards the group with the perfect document within the NBA.

The Mavericks embarrassed the Suns 123-90 in Sport 7 on Phoenix’s homecourt. Doncic had 27 factors within the first half of the elimination sport, matching your complete Suns’ group.

Golden State prevented a Sport 7 within the second spherical by taking good care of the Memphis Grizzlies in six video games. The Warriors simply dismissed back-to-back MVP Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets in a first-round sequence.

It’s straightforward to see why the Warriors are such heavy favorites. Golden State has home-court benefit, going 6-0 at Chase Heart this postseason. Golden State’s 31-10 house document within the common season was the NBA’s second-best mark.

The Warriors dwarf the Mavericks in championship expertise. Stephen Curry, Draymond Inexperienced, Klay Thompson and head coach Steve Kerr are within the West Finals for the sixth time since 2015. None of Dallas’ starters have ever performed a sport past the second spherical of the playoffs.

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The Mavericks have arguably been the extra spectacular group this postseason. The Warriors have been almost pushed to a Sport 7, although Ja Morant didn’t play for the Grizzlies within the remaining three contests of the second-round sequence. Golden State was blown out 134-95 in Sport 4, and the group had a 99.7 offensive score in Video games 4-6.

Dallas’ 114.5 offensive score within the playoffs is barely higher than Golden State’s 114.3 score. The 2 groups have the identical actual defensive score this postseason, giving up 110.5 factors per 100 possessions.

The Mavericks shut down Devin Booker and Chris Paul on the finish of their second-round sequence. It’s laborious to consider that Dallas might do the identical to Curry, although the group did restrict the two-time MVP to twenty factors per sport on 38.8% field-goal capturing in 4 regular-season matchups.

Dallas received the regular-season sequence with Golden State 3-1. Draymond Inexperienced missed three of these video games.

Even with Inexperienced within the lineup, the Warriors don’t have anybody that may comprise Doncic. Dallas’ celebrity averaged 31.5 factors per sport towards Golden State within the common season. Doncic has matched that scoring common in 10 video games this postseason.

 

 

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In simply his third postseason, Doncic has already confirmed himself to be one of many biggest playoff performers in NBA historical past. Doncic is averaging 32.7 factors, 9.3 rebounds and eight.3 assists on 48.6% capturing in 23 profession playoff video games. Solely Michael Jordan has the next playoff scoring common.

Doncic may have the ability to steal a sport or two by himself, however he can’t win your complete sequence alone. He’ll want his teammates to hit open photographs and play nice protection, which they’ve accomplished for a lot of the final month.

The Mavericks lead all playoff groups with 15.5 three-pointers made per sport. Dallas’ 38.5% capturing from three-point vary is the perfect of any group that made it out of the primary spherical. 

Jalen Brunson has scored greater than 20 factors in 9 of 13 playoff video games. Reggie Bullock, Dorian Finney-Smith and and Maxi Kleber have been terrific complementary items to Dallas’ scoring guards

The Warriors have the flexibility to match the Mavericks’ capturing. Thompson got here alive in Golden State’s final two video games, hitting 11 of 20 three-point makes an attempt. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins are capturing round 40% from behind the arc within the playoffs. Curry, after all, is the perfect shooter in NBA historical past.

This needs to be a detailed sequence, a lot nearer than the betting odds would point out. With the best way Doncic and his supporting solid are taking part in, the Mavericks can be tough to maintain out of the NBA Finals.

Collection Prediction: Mavericks in seven

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Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks leaves the court docket after defeating the Phoenix Suns 123-90 in Sport Seven of the 2022 NBA Playoffs Western Convention Semifinals at Footprint Heart on Could 15, 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona. Picture: Christian Petersen/Getty Photos

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